Election thoughts

I am not an elections expert and one is dealing with a volatile electorate facing four cornered contests in many seats, but here are a few reflections.

• A Labour working majority is the least likely outcome. Johnson is a better campaigner than May and Corbyn is less of a fresh face than in 2017. His somersaults on Brexit have disillusioned younger supporters.
• The Lib Dems may win fewer seats than they anticipate.
• What the Brexit Party is up to is a bit of a puzzle, they have been very quiet, but it seems that they are still hoping for an electoral pact with the Conservatives.
• The Democratic Unionists may have marginalised themselves.
• The Conservatives may hang on to a few seats in Scotland.
• Students have hardly been disenfranchised by the election date as they can register in two places. But the student vote will be more dispersed and hence less important.