Showing posts with label Plaid Cymru. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Plaid Cymru. Show all posts

Friday, 8 November 2019

Remain alliance may have limited impact

The Remain alliance of three parties may have limited impact. Sir John Curtice estimates that it could affect the outcome in six seats. Of course, that could be significant in a tight contest.

There is some anecdotal evidence that voters do not like their choice being restricted so that, for example, they can no longer vote Green. It has also been pointed out that the election is about more than Brexit.

Good analysis here, pointing out that Labour is key to the Remain Alliance achieving its goal: Conservative seats under threat

Wednesday, 30 October 2019

Experts on the election

Experienced Welsh politics commentator Roger Anwan-Scally has published a blog on the general election in Wales: The general election battlefield in Wales

None of the Labour seats in Wales is ultra marginal, but there are four feasible target seats. Their close fights are generally straight battles with the Conservatives.

Plaid Cymru will find it hard to gain seats and are vulnerable in two contests.

Writing from his Hong Kong fastness, Philip Cowley gives twelve reasons why this will be a difficult election to predict: Volatile electorate

Sir John Curtice thinks that parties other than the two main ones could have 100 or more seats which would increase the chances of a hung Parliament: Prediction