Thursday, 4 October 2007

Polls sow Labour doubts

The latest set of polls suggest that the Conservatives have been given a boost by a good week at Blackpool. The Labour lead has been cut to three points or the two parties are even level again in one poll. This is no surprise to me as I thought that the lead was fragile with the electorate quite volatile and in many cases undecided.

Having marched his troops up the hill, Gordon has to decide whether to march them down again. Of course, he has said nothing, but his people haven't discouraged election speculation. Perhaps they hoped that it might be a spoiler for the Conservatives, but all it did was unite and reinvigorate them.

Gordon Brown may still go to the country because there may be bad economic news ahead. But the electorate may well sense that there is a motive for going now.

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